What Happened to Asian Exports During the Crisis ?

نویسندگان

  • Rupa Duttagupta
  • Antonio Spilimbergo
  • Fabio Canova
  • Kalpana Kochhar
  • Rachel Kranton
  • Gian-Maria Milesi
  • Arvind Panagariya
  • Raymond Robertson
  • Francisco Rodríguez
  • Miguel Savastano
  • Robert Schwab
  • Peter Wickham
چکیده

After the large exchange rate depreciations following the 1997 East Asian crisis, export volumes from East Asian countries responded with a notable lag. Two main explanations for this lag have been proposed: that the policy of high interest rates limited access to domestic credit and hence limited the supply of exports; and that “competitive depreciation” neutralized the effects on demand for exports. This paper considers the plausibility of these two mechanisms using a new monthly database on exports of selected industries. We find evidence that “competitive depreciation” did play a fundamental role in the propagation of the East Asian crisis through the trade channel, even at a monthly frequency.

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تاریخ انتشار 2000